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Danielle Smith is Mark Carney's secret weapon

Danielle Smith at a press conference on March 19. Photo: Alberta Newsroom via Flickr 

It was supposed to be a cakewalk. Instead, as Pierre Poilievre kicks off the election campaign that was supposed to be a mere formality, his odds of becoming Canada’s next prime minister get longer with each passing day. And now, for some reason, his closest provincial ally just gave Mark Carney’s Liberals a gift-wrapped political sledgehammer to celebrate the launch of the election. 

In a resurfaced early March interview with Breitbart, an online far-right American publication with longstanding ties to the Trump universe, Premier Danielle Smith said the quiet part about Poilievre out loud — the part Poilievre’s team has spent weeks trying to bury. “The perspective that Pierre would bring would be very much in sync with, I think … the new direction in America. And I think we’d have a really great relationship for the period of time they’re both in.” 

Worse, perhaps, she suggested that the Trump administration should stand down temporarily on tariffs specifically to help Poilievre win. “What I fear,” Smith said, “is that the longer this dispute goes on, politicians posture, and it seems to be benefiting the Liberals right now. So I would hope that we could put things on pause is what I’ve told administration officials. Let’s just put things on pause so we can get through an election.” 

If you were looking for an example of foreign interference in our elections, this is about as bad as it gets. Worse, Smith might not be alone in soliciting it. As journalist Stephen Maher noted in a recent Toronto Star column, “two unrelated sources close to the CPC war room tell me that Poilievre’s team had even floated going so far as trying to get a message to the White House in an attempt to persuade Trump to distance himself from Poilievre.” In what is surely a total coincidence, Trump ended up doing exactly that. 

In any sane and rational universe, Smith’s transparent treachery would be the end of her political career. She is openly collaborating with an administration that is trying to bring Canada to heel, whether through economic or military means, and has repeatedly threatened its sovereignty. Even in Alberta, where there is more support for joining the United States than elsewhere in Canada, this is still a wildly unpopular position. If the Alberta NDP is ever going to wake up from its self-induced political slumber, now would be a good time.

But even if Smith’s remarks don’t end her political career, they’ve already done tremendous damage to Poilievre’s. That’s because his hopes of winning the election it looked like he couldn’t lose now rest on his ability to create some distance between himself and President Donald Trump. That was already going to be a difficult assignment given the numerous ties between his key staff and MPs and the MAGA universe, not to mention his own Trump-like characteristics: pugilistic, loose with the facts, scornful of opposition and openly contemptuous of the media. Mix in the Conservative base’s disproportionate fondness for Trump, even in the face of his numerous threats to Canada’s sovereignty, and Poilievre was going to have to walk the narrowest of tightropes.

Now, it’s basically impossible. When given the chance to disavow Smith’s comments, Poilievre declined to call her out. “Trump has been very blunt that he wants a weak Canada that he can target,” he said, when asked about the remarks in the first hour of the election. “Electing Liberals will weaken our country still.” This isn’t going to cut it with most Canadians, especially once Smith’s comments get a wider airing with the general public. If he can’t even bear to criticize one of his biggest friends and political allies, how on earth is Poilievre going to stand up to Donald Trump? 

Pierre Poilievre's hopes of winning the election it looked like he couldn’t lose now rest on his ability to create some distance between himself and President Donald Trump. So much for that.

That’s the question that Liberals will be putting to Canadians over the next five weeks. And while Conservative partisans will twist themselves into pretzels to justify Poilievre’s ideological and political alignment with Trump, most Canadians will be far less forgiving. “I'm not Liberal or Conservative,” Ottawa writer Dan Gardner said on social media. “I'm Canadian. My vote depends on who I think will best defend Canada. And if I detect the slightest whiff of Trump-inclination, Trump-curiosity, or Trump-envy in either party, I will invite that party to cross the border and don't come back.”

He’s probably not alone. Time will tell whether Trump is still the dominant ballot question in a month, and whether Canadians have changed their minds on who’s best equipped to handle him. But one thing is certain: Danielle Smith has already done more to hurt Poilievre’s chances than the Liberals ever could. 

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