This article is part of the Reality Check series by Canada's National Observer. Have a question for us? Reach out at [email protected].
First, a quick snapshot of how we’re defining our terms.
Claims that get the “true” label are either verified by available evidence, or have no credible evidence that calls the claim into question.
Claims we label false are, well, the opposite: The claim either has no truth to it, or what was once true has been twisted enough that it’s no longer supported.
When we say a claim is misleading, we mean the claim has a grain of truth to it, but it’s been taken out of context or twisted in a way that would be hard to consider “true” in the way it’s described.
We recognize that fact-checking is an imperfect art. Our goal is to provide you with the claim, the supporting or undercutting evidence, and make a determination as to how we think it should be understood. Disagree? Let us know.
For today’s Fact Check, let’s start with some big numbers.
Claim 1: The Century Initiative
Origin: Conservatives
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre says his chief rival, Liberal Leader Mark Carney, supports the Century Initiative, a registered charity that has a goal of seeing Canada’s population reach 100 million people by 2100.
Carney recently appointed Mark Wiseman, the board chair of the Century Initiative, to his advisory council on Canada-US Relations.
Poilievre claims this shows that Carney supports the initiative and its goals for population and immigration growth. He calls both Carney and Wiseman “corporate elites” and says they are advocating for a “radical globalist ideology.”
Verdict: Misleading
Carney did appoint Wiseman to his advisory council, but his team has stressed that Wiseman does not advise the Prime Minister on immigration.
More importantly, Carney has said that current caps on immigration levels (395,000 permanent new residents for 2025, reduced to 365,000 by 2027) should remain in place, and that he has no plans to increase immigration until “we’ve expanded housing, we’ve reabsorbed the levels of immigration that have happened in our country.”
There is also a concern around rapid immigration from Bloc leader Yves-Francois Blanchet. Blanchet introduced a motion in 2023, asking the House to “reject the Century Initiative objectives” and to not let them influence future legislation. In the text of the motion, Blanchet says that “tripling Canada’s population has real impacts on the future of the French language,” as well as Quebec’s political weight, housing, First Nations’ rights, and other considerations.
The Liberals shot down the bill, with the Bloc and the Conservatives voting in favour. The NDP voted alongside the Liberals, and it failed.
Claim 2: Conservatives will cut dental care, childcare, workers' rights
Origin: NDP
NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh says the Conservatives will cut dental care, childcare, and workers' rights.
On Wednesday, the NDP leader made a campaign stop in Winnipeg, and said Poilievre believes “you should weather a storm on your own,” and that he supports “cutting services that people need.”
Verdict: Misleading
When it comes to dental care and childcare, Poilievre has said he will “protect” the programs, and “nobody who has them will lose them.” He specifically said that “no one would lose their dental care.” He has not committed to expanding those programs, but he has talked about removing “red tape” around child care — though it’s unclear which regulations he would remove or change.
When it comes to workers’ rights, things get a little stickier. Over a decade ago, as a Harper-era MP, Poilievre voted in favor of legislation like Bills C-377 and C-525, amending the labour code. He also voted to increase the eligibility age for Old Age Security.
Today, however, Poilievre says his view has “evolved.”. He has pledged not to bring forward any anti-union legislation and he’s spoken publicly about supporting unionized workers. His campaign was also endorsed by at least two unions, Local 67 of Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters and the International Brotherhood of Boilermakers.
Poilievre is also endorsed by Merit Canada, a group representing non-unionized construction workers. In their endorsement, they praise Poilievre for his commitment to “turning around the national economy by cutting needless overregulation,” among other things. The 2023 CPC policy book lays out support for “right to work” legislation, which is usually anti-union. The policy goes on to say that this would allow for optional union membership, including in student unions.
The proposed legislation has been denounced by several unions, with CUPE calling a Conservative government a “disaster” for workers’ rights.
Claim 3: Donald Trump supports the Liberals.
Origin: Conservatives
At a press conference on March 28, Poilievre said, “Trump wants to keep the Liberals in power.”
Verdict: False
There is no evidence for this. On an episode of The Ingraham Angle, US President Donald Trump spoke with Laura Ingraham about Canada. When Ingraham proposed to Trump that a Liberal win could make the government more hostile to the US, Trump repeatedly said “I don’t care.”
Trump said the Liberals might be “easier to deal with” but that Canada is a “nasty country” and that he ultimately doesn’t care who wins. He also called Poilievre “no friend of mine” and said he was “not a MAGA guy.” However, Trump’s right-hand Elon Musk has supported Poilievre, calling his speeches “perfectly articulated” and one, “a masterpiece.”
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That’s it for this week’s Fact Check Friday. If you have questions, facts to check, or want to get in touch, you can find us at [email protected].
Comments
Fact-checking the "fact checkers":
"Claims that get the 'true' label are either verified by available evidence, or have no credible evidence that calls the claim into question."
So claims that have no credible evidence for or against are labelled "true"?
Claims unsupported by evidence are usually deemed unsubstantiated. Mere opinions.
1) "Poilievre is also endorsed by Merit Canada, a group representing non-unionized construction workers."
GP Verdict: Misleading
First big fail. Merit Canada is an anti-union group.
"Anti-Union Lobby Groups are Endorsing Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives" (PressProgress, March 26, 2025)
"Conservative Party of Canada receive endorsements from 'open shop' groups with a long history of anti-union lobbying
"While Pierre Poilievre promises to 'champion workers' and 'work with our unions,' the leader of the Conservatives is also receiving endorsements from anti-union 'open shop' lobbying firms.
"Poilievre, who recently criticized Liberal candidate Mark Carney over Brookfield Asset Management’s alleged 'union-busting' and 'anti-union activity' while Carney was board chairman, was also endorsed by the anti-union group Merit Canada a few weeks ago.
"… Merit has also lobbied to make it harder for construction workers to organize unions.
"… During the Harper-era, Merit Canada was one of the most active corporate lobbyists in the Prime Minister’s Office. Oakey regularly met with Conservative MPs like Russ Hiebert and the Prime Minister’s senior staff members to push forward Hiebert’s Bill C-377, which sought 'financial transparency' by forcing unions to disclose any payment exceeding $5000, including salaries, benefits and pensions.
"… Poilievre was a prominent supporter of the bill, and also called for legislation that would make union dues optional, a cornerstone of 'right-to-work' laws that undermine the collective bargaining process.
"'I am the first federal politician to make a dedicated push towards this goal,' said Poilievre about introducing right-to-work legislation.
"The close relationship and frequent closed-door meetings between Merit Canada and the Conservative Party were widely criticized at the time.
"… Harper’s Conservatives used their senate majority to pass the bill in 2015, but it was repealed by Justin Trudeau’s Liberal government in 2017.
"Despite Poilievre’s close ties to anti-union lobbyists like Merit, he has promoted himself as a friend to the working class throughout his time as leader of the Conservative Party, frequently taking photos with union workers across the province.
"But some labour leaders say he has no proven experience of standing up for workers."
For more info, search "Merit Canada" anti-union.
2) "Claim 3: Donald Trump supports the Liberals."
False, says The Observers' fact checkers. "There is no evidence for this."
"Trump claims he'd 'rather deal with a liberal than a conservative' in Ottawa" (Thomson Reuters, Mar 18, 2025)
"U.S. President Donald Trump on Tuesday said he wouldn't mind if the Liberal Party won the upcoming Canadian election, saying: 'I'd rather deal with a liberal than a conservative.'
"… During an interview on Fox News's The Ingraham Angle, host Laura Ingraham pointed out that Trump's treatment of Canada could propel the governing Liberals to win the next election and lead a government that's hostile to the U.S.
"'I don't care,' Trump responded. 'I think it's easier to deal, actually, with a liberal and maybe they're going to win, but I don't really care. It doesn't matter to me at all.'"
While Trump acknowledges that Poilievre would be a natural ally, he is irritated by Poilievre's past comments:
"Trump claims he'd 'rather deal with a liberal than a conservative' in Ottawa" (Thomson Reuters, Mar 18, 2025)
"Trump then took aim at Conservative Party Leader Pierre Poilievre.
"'The conservative that's running is, stupidly, no friend of mine. I don't know him, but he said negative things. When he says negative things, I couldn't care less.'
"These followed prior comments Trump has made about the Conservative leader, including an assertion that Poilievre is 'not a MAGA guy.'"
"… In that interview with The Spectator, Trump is asked whether Canada's Conservatives can still pull off a win in the next election, despite the tightening polls.
"Writer Ben Domenech asks the president about those polls shifting amid comments Trump has been making about Canada, which, Domenech says, the governing Liberals have 'leaned into.'
"Trump's reply? Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre needs to more fully embrace Trump.
"'I think his biggest problem is he's not a MAGA guy, you know? I mean, he's really not. He's not a Trump guy at all,' the U.S. president replies.
"'Pierre, I just don't know. I don't like what he's saying about me. It's just not positive about me.'"
"Donald Trump has some thoughts about Canada's upcoming election" (CBC, Feb 28, 2025)
The more interesting question is whether Alberta Premier Danielle Smith wants the Liberals to win. To keep her base in perpetual rage against the feds, she needs a Liberal punching bag in Ottawa, not a friendly Conservative government.
Smith is busy digging a mass grave for Poilievre's Conservatives. Declaring that Poilievre is "in sync" with Trump. Threatening a national unity crisis. Triumphantly declaring Trump's latest tariff announcements "an important win for Canada and Alberta". Now Preston Manning is piling on with threats of secession.
"Fissure among Conservatives undermining Poilievre's pitch he's a national unifier: experts" (CBC, Apr 05, 2025)
The recent treatment of Rachel Gilmore by CTV just shows how absolutely spineless they are when pestered by "Conservative" advocacy groups.