Election 2025: Live updates

Canada’s National Observer and Ricochet have reporters fanned out across the country in key ridings, leader headquarters and more. Watch the livestream for analysis here.

Throughout the night we will be covering major trends here. 

On this page, a live blog with results from notable ridings. Refresh for the latest. 

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1:40am Eastern - Liberal Leader Mark Carney speaks to supporters, and commits to governing on behalf of all Canadians. 

1:07am Eastern - Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre conceded the election, and congratulated Mark Carney, but also committed to staying on as leader.

12:53am Eastern - Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre is taking the stage to speak. He is still trailing in his own riding. 

12:40am Eastern - NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh has been defeated. He thanked his supporters, and announced he will step down as party leader once an interim leader is selected. 

12:13am Eastern - Conservative MP Jamil Jivani, who says he is a close friend with US Vice-President JD Vance, has been re-elected. Jivani is a former president of the Canada Strong and Free Network. 

12:08am Eastern - All eyes are on the NDP. Heather McPherson from Edmonton Strathcona has been re-elected, as has Alexandre Boulerice in Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie. But a number of prominent New Democrats have been defeated or are on track. They include Niki Ashton, Lisa Marie Barron, Laurel Collins, Matthew Green, Blake Desjarlais, Brain Masse and Alistair MacGregor. NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh is also trailing in his riding. 

12:04am Eastern - At Liberal HQ, the mood is cautiously optimistic, says Natasha Bulowski on the live stream. The results are not surprising. There was early nervousness, especially in Atlantic Canada. But as the night went on and key Liberal ridings like Chrystia Freeland's and Carleton started to show strong numbers, the mood lifted.

12:01am Eastern - Bloc newcomer Patrick Bonin, a former campaigner with Greenpeace Canada, was elected in Repentigny. 

11:59pm Eastern - Liberal MP Terry Duguid, who was appointed environment and climate change minister by Carney, has been re-elected in Winnipeg South. 

11:56pm Eastern - Leah Gazan from the NDP was re-elected in Winnipeg Centre. Gazan has advocated for MMIWG2S+ issues, Palestinian rights, and introduced a private members bill called the called Climate Emergency Action Act, notes Caroline Brouillette, executive director of Climate Action Network Canada. 

11:50pm Eastern - Green Party co-leaders have had split results. Elizabeth May was re-elected, while Jonathan Pedneault was defeated. Kitchener Centre MP Mike Morrice is currently trailing, but it’s close. Paul Manly, a former Green MP who was defeated in 2021 is trailing in third in Nanaimo-Ladysmith. 

11:45pm Eastern - Steven Guilbeault, former environment and climate change minister, was re-elected. Other prominent re-elected Liberals include Chrystia Freeland, Dominic LeBlanc, Sean Fraser and Patty Hajdu. 

11:35pm Eastern - Marc Fawcett-Atkinson is in a hotel conference room in Burnaby Central and things are starting to pick up after a slow start, he says on the live stream. Supporters and media are arriving but Jagmeet Singh hasn’t shown up yet. There’s a sense that the NDP will lose official party status or he’ll lose his seat. Fawcett-Atkinson noted the NDP has no presence outside of strongholds like parts of Vancouver and their press staff would often show up uninvited at Poilievre’s press conferences to confront reporters and push the NDP’s message.

11:32pm Eastern - The mood at Bloc leader Yves-François Blanchet's headquarters is very enthusiastic and optimistic, reports Le Devoir's Stéphanie Marin. 

11:26pm Eastern - The atmosphere at Poilievre’s HQ in Ottawa was unusually quiet, says Arno Kopecky on the live stream. Kopecky said people are walking out early and a few supporters crying. Insiders weren’t shocked by the numbers, some in the party had already had a sense of trouble after Poilievre’s emotional speech at his last rally where he hinted at losing.

11:09pm Eastern - International reactions are trickling in. Ana Toni, CEO of this year's UN climate summit (called COP30), says she's looking forward to welcoming Carney to COP30 in Belem, Brazil later this year. 

"It’s very positive to have Mark Carney who, has a deep knowledge of climate change and economics at the helm in Canada, and knows that the best path ahead is through the energy transition," she said.

And Nick Bridge, UK special representative for climate change 2017-2023, says Carney can play an out-sized role for intensified cooperation.

"If he can lead and empower Canadian citizens and organisations to work together to align economic, social and environmental goals, then Canada can play a responsible role internationally towards a more sustainable economic system and avoidance of climate and ecological collapse," he said. 

10:55pm Eastern - Leslie Church, who lost the Toronto-St.Paul's by-election last summer, kicking off a crisis for Trudeau's leadership, is now projected to win that riding. 

10:44pm Eastern - Elizabeth May's party is kicking off. She notes the projected Liberal win, but isn't making any official comments yet. 

10:34pm Eastern - Mark Carney is, unsurprisingly, expected to win his seat. 

10:21pm Eastern - On the live stream, journalist Vicky Mochama pointed out separatist rhetoric and national debates around energy security never mention the legal and cultural foundation of treaties or the Indigenous peoples they protect. As Canada develops critical minerals and energy on Indigenous lands like the Ring of Fire, questions arise about who gets to define Canadian identity and economic priorities.

10:11pm Eastern - CBC and CTV have both called a Liberal win. Results will determine a majority or minority government, but Mark Carney's Liberals have pulled off a stunning comeback from just a few months ago. 

10:08pm Eastern - There are two different interpretations of Canadianness coming out of this election, and no matter which party prevails tonight, they will have to reckon with what it means to be a patriotic Canadian, journalist Vicky Mochama says on our live stream. "I think generally speaking, Canadians have rallied in non-partisan fashion. The question is, tonight, how will people answer who they believe is the best to protect that sovereignty and Canadian identity," added Ryan Jespersen, host of the Real Talk podcast.

10:02pm Eastern - In Toronto-St. Paul's, supporters of Liberal candidate Leslie Church are trickling in. The riding was a Liberal stronghold that flipped to the Conservatives last summer igniting a crisis in the Liberal benches and kickstarting the campaign to force Justin Trudeau to step down. The riding will be an important bellwether for Liberal support in the seat rich GTA. 

9:57pm Eastern - On the live stream, Stephen Maher said some NDP supporters in Atlantic Canada are moving to the Conservatives for strategic voting reasons, seeking a more centrist option. That won’t affect Halifax though, where international students and foreign workers are less likely to support conservative policies. The region is also a “boomtown” attracting people who sold homes in cities like Toronto or came back during COVID for remote work, looking for a better life, which will impact voting patterns.

9:54pm Eastern - In Kapuskasing—Timmins—Mushkegowuk, the former riding of the NDP's Charlie Angus since 2004, polls show the NDP trailing in a distant third. Angus had taken a stand against fossil fuel advertising and the oil and gas industry's record profits during a climate crisis, but the riding looks set to be lost in a sign of a possible rough night for New Democrats. 

9:41pm Eastern - From Canada's National Observer reporter Marc Fawcett-Atkinson, who is at a polling station just outside Jagmeet Singh’s election night event, deep amid the towers of Metrotown in Burnaby, BC: One man in his late 30s or early 40s with a young daughter stopped long enough to say that he is “sick and tired of the Liberals. Enough. That’s it,” while bringing his hand to his neck to imply that he was drowning in frustration.

Another man about the same age — also accompanied by his young daughter — said that he doesn’t trust Carney because the Liberal leader is a businessman like Trump. This man was worried about the changes he is seeing south of the border, and thinks that Carney will implement similar policies if elected. When asked about the NDP and Singh, he said that he doesn’t trust them because the party backed the Trudeau government.

One woman in her 50s was a bit less focused on the parties. A new Canadian from Mexico, she was concerned about the cost of rent and groceries, and was voting to try and improve the situation.

9:37pm Eastern - Over on the live stream, CNO correspondent Arno Kopecky discussed the underground media ecosystem surrounding Poilievre. A YouTuber with 250,000 subscribers who is part of the convoy movement who now travels across the country covering rallies, and doesn’t do journalism or fact checking. This network of influencers are a key part of Poilievre’s strategy. He avoids direct journalist interactions and relies on this decentralized “underground” messaging.

9:25pm Eastern - Over at NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh's headquarters the room is empty, but the bar is being set up. Polls aren't looking like it will be a particularly celebratory night for the party — they're fighting to hold onto official party status. 

9:22pm Eastern - "Liberal lead in the popular vote in Atlantic Canada is about half of what the polls suggested," said Russell Williams, an associate professor at Memorial University. "So either they are underperforming or the vote count is uneven. I'd say some of both." 

9:11pm Eastern - Conservatives have been targeting South Asian communities, particularly Indian Canadians in the GTA since the years of Jason Kenney and Stephen Harper. This year the deteriorating India-Canada relations and Justin Trudeau's decreasing popularity among Hindu Canadians present a unique opportunity for the Conservatives. Slow shift away from Liberal allegiance though, says Nicholas Hune-Brown, executive editor of The Local, on the live stream. 

9:05pm Eastern - Speaking of the shift among younger voters — particularly younger men — to the Conservative Party, Nick Hune-Brown says that Poilievre's messages on housing and cost of living have been particularly resonant. "What's stood out to me more is what they're not hearing from the NDP, as well. They're completely absent from this conversation, and that, to me, is the real shift and the real question," Hune-Brown says on our live stream.

9:01pm Eastern - In this election Indigenous issues have almost disappeared from the debate, said Karyn Pugliese from APTN over on our live stream. In 2021 Indigenous voices were prominent, with an Indigenous woman asking questions at the debate. This year the conversation shifted to resource extraction instead of Indigenous rights. Both Pierre Poilievre and Mark Carney want to speed up approvals for resource projects like pipelines and energy extraction and Indigenous leaders are worried that will mean no proper consultation and consent from affected First Nations, she said. 

8:52pm Eastern - Wayne Long, the first Liberal MP to call for Justin Trudeau to resign, is set to be re-elected in Saint John—Rothesay. Saint John, NB, is the most vulnerable city to US tariffs. 

8:49pm Eastern - Trump’s rise has triggered a surprising shift in Quebec — Canadian flags are showing up in downtown Montreal, says Anne Lagacé Dowson over on our live stream. Even in Bloc Québécois strongholds, there’s a new sense that national unity matters, because of fear of what a second Trump term would mean for Canada.

8:43pm Eastern - "Lots of nervous Liberals right now; they thought they'd sweep Atlantic Canada. But until the advanced polls are counted, these results should be looked at with caution," Don Desserud, political science professor at the University of Prince Edward Island tells Canada's National Observer. 

8:39pm Eastern - Supporters are starting to funnel into the Green Party election night party, where co-leader Elizabeth May is expected to arrive in the next hour. 

8:33pm Eastern - Liberals are leading in 21 ridings, compared to Conservatives leading in 10. 

8:31pm Eastern - Arno Kopecky, who has followed Poilievre’s campaign for the past 36 days is at Conservative Party headquarters. He says on the live stream what was impressive about the campaign was how much Poilievre stuck to his guns, refusing to soften his message. Time will tell if that strategy will pay off. But Kopecky says the mood at CPC HQ is cautiously upbeat. 

8:13pm Eastern - Tom Osborne, who had served in both Progressive Conservative and Liberal provincial governments, has been elected in Cape Spear as a federal Liberal. Early results suggest Conservatives are leading in a handful of ridings, but they've not yet been elected. Either way, Mark Carney's Liberals are not off to the roaring start they had hoped. However, Liberals are expected to have dominated advanced polling and those votes have not yet been counted. 

8:02pm Eastern - Over on our live stream, panelists Max Fawcett, Karyn Pugliese, Stephen Maher and others are discussing what has driven the dramatic swing in the polls in recent months. 

7:28pm Eastern - At Conservative Party headquarters, CBC’s election coverage is playing on two screens. 

7:00pm Eastern - Polls close in Newfoundland. Results will start to pour in soon.