At least we know what we’re up against. No pretense anymore — Donald Trump’s driving motivation is dominance.
Dominance over neighbours; dominance over allies; dominance over opponents as well as the disenfranchised, the poor, the embattled. The United States has elected a distorted Nietzschean Übermensch intent on dominance of nature. Rarely do we see the drive for dominance with such naked clarity.
But there was President Zelenskyy in the Oval Office, cornered by a primate dominance display that any field biologist would instantly recognize. On the savannah, it might win a few seasons at the top of the troop. In the modern world, it’s a seething mess of tortured masculinity.
This dominant male shreds agreements at whim, roiling Canada and Mexico with punishing tariffs. Not so much overturning the compacts he, himself, had made — just pompously disinterested in them. Dismissive and resentful towards restraints or reciprocity. Oblivious to interdependence. Contemptuous of kindness.
His posture toward the natural world sums it up. Rip bare the Earth and drill, baby, drill. Trump has ordered chainsaws into millions of hectares of public lands, endangered species be damned. And he declared emergency powers to block renewable energy and pump up the extraction of “black gold,” future generations be broiled.
Canadians are furious at the betrayals and economic warfare. Our political leaders agree we will respond to Trump with “matching retaliation.”
The risk is that we succumb to the drive for dominance here at home, clearcutting even more of the land and driving pipes into the Earth harder and faster. Canada is no paragon of environmental protection as it stands, but things could get much worse.
It may seem bad timing to invoke interdependence. Our better angels are battened down against the hurricane blasting from the south. But dominance is not working out so well and our actual interconnectedness is more evident by the month.
Take last month, for example: our planet’s temperatures continued the hot streak running higher than 1.5 degrees C above pre-industrial levels, according to Europe’s Copernicus Climate Change Service.
It wasn’t the hottest February on record (2024 holds onto that title) but 19 months of the past 20 brought temperatures exceeding the symbolic 1.5 C figure.
Moving from the symbolic to the tangible: global sea ice fell to a record low in February. Sea ice doesn’t raise sea levels when it melts, but it’s one of those nasty feedback loops because it reduces the planet’s reflectivity and more heat gets absorbed.
Antarctic sea ice cover was 26 per cent below average last month. At the other end of the Earth, February saw temperatures more than 20 C above average at the north pole, touching the melting point in the dark depths of the polar winter.
"February 2025 continues the streak of record or near-record temperatures observed throughout the last two years,” said Samantha Burgess, Strategic Lead for Climate at Copernicus. “One of the consequences of a warmer world is melting sea ice, and the record or near-record low sea ice cover at both poles has pushed global sea ice cover to an all-time minimum.”
It passes for reassuring news these days that a different group of scientists produced a study forecasting that the great ocean currents of the Atlantic probably won’t totally collapse in the lifetime of kids that are already born. They predict that the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (Amoc) may only partially collapse this century.
The Amoc is already weakening because of global warming. Niklas Boers from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research said, “Even a weakening that is not due to a tipping point could have similarly severe impacts on, for example, tropical rains ... One could even go as far as saying that, in the short term, it doesn’t really matter if we have a strong weakening, say 80 per cent, or a collapse.”
Other Amoc researchers warn that we’re playing with definitions and statistical probabilities here. Stefan Rahmstorf says bluntly that “a collapse cannot be considered a low-probability event any more.” If we’re going to reject Trumpian nihilism, we might extend consideration to the kids born in the coming years, who will live with the impacts of fossil fuel dominance well into the next century.
Canadians are understandably a lot more focused on economic forecasts than environmental ones these days, but they still get the gist. Polling just conducted by Abacus Data finds that 69 per cent of Canadians are worried about the impact of climate change, even over the next five years, let alone the coming decades. Among younger Canadians and those with kids under 12, the results are even higher — over three quarters say they’re concerned or “very” concerned.
“Many are left wondering how climate-related disruptions — such as extreme weather, rising insurance costs, and potential food shortages — could affect their financial and personal security,” the Abacus pollsters conclude. “The uncertainty is not just about the severity of these risks but about how well Canada is prepared to navigate them in the coming years.”
How we navigate the future is indeed the question. Do we match Trump’s drive for power through fossil fuels? Will the rich nations of the world match his “America first,” beggar-the-future approach? When it comes to the real world of oceans, ice and heat, “my country first” might just be code for putting our kids last.