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Earth to millennials: Pierre Poilievre is playing you on housing

When it comes to housing, B.C. Premier David Eby is doing more than any other provincial leader in Canada. So why does Pierre Poilievre keep attacking him? Oh, right: politics. Photo via Government of BC (CC BY-NC-ND 2.0 DEED)

Credit where it’s due: Pierre Poilievre has talked a good game about housing ever since he was elected leader of the Conservative Party of Canada. Sure, he keeps fibbing about being the Harper government’s housing minister (no such role existed) and continues to pretend the problem magically started when the Trudeau Liberals were elected, but he’s effectively drawn attention to an issue that’s been overlooked for too long. The huge surge in Conservative support among millennial voters, who now outnumber baby boomers, helps explain why his party is so far ahead in recent polls.

Housing-hungry millennials might want to look a little more closely at what he’s actually saying about the issue, though. Yes, Poilievre has been very good at feeling their pain and harnessing it to his own political ambitions. But if anyone’s expecting him to heal it as prime minister, his recent behaviour suggests they’re setting themselves up for some pretty major disappointment.

He has, for example, decided to make an enemy out of NDP Premier David Eby, who he recently suggested has “probably the worst housing record of any politician on Earth.” Eby, of course, has been premier of British Columbia for just over a year now. In that time, he’s transformed the housing market in his province, implementing a raft of hugely ambitious and aggressive reforms that target everything from short-term rentals and restrictive local zoning bylaws to design-oriented regulations that can unlock more supply. Leo Spalteholz, a pro-supply housing activist in B.C., described the changes as “transformational.”

Poilievre is apparently counting on Canadians to ignore that progress or the context in which it’s taken place. “Look at the prices,” he said in a video that was clipped and shared by Canada Proud. “Vancouver is now the third most expensive housing market in the world, comparing median income to median house prices. Check it on Demographia.ca for yourself.”

Well, I did. Despite the dead link Poilievre tried to direct people to — it’s demographia.com — the data doesn’t tell the story he might like to pretend. Back in 2015, for example, Demographia’s annual study of housing affordability revealed that Vancouver was the second most expensive city in the world on those same criteria. Maybe, just maybe, it’s about something other than Justin Trudeau and Eby.

Curiously, while Poilievre is happy to blame Eby for the high housing prices that long predate his entry into provincial politics, he’s conspicuously silent about Ontario Premier Doug Ford’s track record. Prices and rents there have soared since his Progressive Conservatives took power in 2018, and most of his government’s legislative efforts on this file have revolved around trying to enrich Ford-friendly developers and exacerbate the province’s existing problems with sprawl. The Ontario PCs have repeatedly ignored the recommendations of their own Housing Affordability Task Force and in some cases, actively opposed them.

As a result, while housing starts were up 11 per cent in Eby’s B.C. in 2023, they dropped 36 per cent in Ford’s Ontario. As The Hub’s Steve Lafleur noted, federal Housing Minister Sean Fraser has been leading the charge for better housing policies in Ontario. “He’s getting municipal governments to make tough reforms the premier hasn’t thus far been willing to impose. Indeed, many of these reforms are straight out of the Housing Affordability Task Force report. The premier doesn’t have to drive the bus, but he really shouldn’t stand in front of it.”

In case there was any doubt about whether Poilievre’s focus on housing was driven by politics rather than policy, he dispelled it this past Wednesday in the House of Commons. When the prime minister invoked housing expert Mike Moffatt’s criticism of the Conservative housing policy (one Moffatt described as “incredibly weak tea”), Poilievre responded by calling him a “failed Liberal academic.”

This was a weird flex, not least because Moffatt is widely respected on this file by Conservatives and Liberals alike. There’s also the fact that his advocacy has helped elevate the issue to one of national significance — with attendant national political consequences. As Globe and Mail columnist Andrew Coyne noted, “Moffatt has done more than any single individual to make housing a five-alarm issue. Who has that most benefited, politically? Poilievre. He should be proposing him for the Order of Canada.”

Pierre Poilievre has talked a good game about housing over the last two years. But his recent attacks on B.C. Premier David Eby and housing expert Mike Moffatt show that it's really all about good politics for him, not good policies.

Poilievre’s reflexive petulance should be a warning sign to those of us who want to see real progress on the housing file. He clearly doesn’t care who he has to drag through the parliamentary mud in order to score a point on his opponents, even if they’re people who might otherwise agree with him on the actual matters of substance at hand. That’s why he’s attacking Eby, the premier doing the most on housing, and giving Ford a pass despite him doing the least.

To Poilievre, everything is politics: first, always, and forever. That may help him win the next election, and even win it handily. But it also means he has no real interest in addressing the problems he’s identifying, much less working with academics and experts to come up with real solutions. So, yes, millennials, he feels your pain on the housing file — and he’s more than happy to exploit it. If you’re looking for someone who will actually take the steps required to assuage it, though, you’d best look somewhere else.

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