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Pierre Poilievre has to choose between the convoy and Canada

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre poses for a selfie with a lone supporter before a news conference in Calgary, Alta., Wednesday, Feb. 15, 2023. Photo by: The Canadian Press/Jeff McIntosh

From the moment he announced his bid for leadership of the Conservative Party of Canada last February, Pierre Poilievre’s path to power has been clear. He would run on a platform of uncompromising conservatism, sew up his party’s far-right flank, and prevent the sort of leakage of votes to the People’s Party that cost Erin O’Toole the 2021 election.

And for just over a year there, it looked like it was working. That is until an ultra-right member of the European Parliament named Christine Anderson showed up in Canada and blew everything up.

Anderson, for those who don’t know her, is a member of Alternative für Deutschland, a populist German political party that opposes immigration, talks about the “Islamization” of Europe, and occasionally downplays or diminishes the country’s Nazi past. She made waves last year when she gave a speech trashing Prime Minister Justin Trudeau during his visit to the European Parliament that went viral in Canadian right-wing circles.

That made her a minor celebrity and could explain why she was greeted so warmly by a trio of Conservative MPs (including former leadership candidate and shadow minister of infrastructure Leslyn Lewis). The three MPs who happily posed for a photo with her, Poilievre suggested, were “unaware” of her “vile” views.

Still, their actions forced Poilievre to denounce Anderson’s visit on Friday. “Frankly, it would be better if Anderson never visited Canada in the first place. She and her racist, hateful views are not welcome here,” he said in a written statement.

Pierre Poilievre surged ahead in the polls by bringing PPC voters — and convoy supporters — back into the fold. Now, thanks to a visit from a far-right European politician, his coalition might be about to fall apart. @maxfawcett writes

There are a number of problems here for Poilievre. First, as to the notion that his caucus mates were blithely unaware of their guest’s views, there are only two possible options here: they’re lazy, or they’re lying. Neither is a particularly good look, especially when we’re talking about someone who’s hardly an unknown entity to Canadian conservatives.

Her “What What Would Christine Anderson Do” tour is sponsored by “Canadians for Truth,” the same organization that promotes events by anti-vaccine activists like Jamie Sale and Theo Fleury. Upon her arrival, she was embraced by the same people who starred in last year’s Freedom Convoy, from protest leader Tamara Lich to lawyers Keith Wilson and Eva Chipiuk. Anderson even met with, and struck a pose beside, members of the neo-Nazi group Diagolon.

You can almost feel Poilievre breaking out in a cold sweat right now given how hard he’s worked over the last little while to put as much distance between himself and this cast of characters. His uncharacteristic silence during the Public Order Emergency Commission last fall and the release of its report last week were a stark contrast to the support he showed the convoy in its earlier days, whether that was bringing coffee and doughnuts to truckers or marching proudly alongside an anti-vaccine veteran who had appeared on the Diagolon leader’s podcast a month earlier.

This version of himself was one he clearly wanted to leave in the past. And now, thanks to Anderson’s visit to Canada and the backlash generated by his MPs and their decision to meet with her, he’s being dragged back there. If he refuses to kick those three MPs out of his caucus, he’ll look like he’s soft on the sort of hate that Anderson is peddling — and help write the Liberal Party’s attack ads in the next election for them. But if he does give them the boot, he risks handing Maxime Bernier a ready-made parliamentary caucus, along with an argument for why the former PPC supporters who may have reluctantly decided to embrace Poilievre should return to the fold.

This was always the biggest risk with Poilievre’s strategy, and in some respects, it was only a matter of time before this grenade went off. Now that it has, he has to make a familiar choice: does he bet his party’s future on the far-right voters and their values and risk alienating moderates in key swing ridings, or cut them loose and try to win over disaffected blue Liberals and red Tories who are souring on Trudeau and his team?

The convoy, which arrived in Ottawa last year looking to overthrow the government, has already succeeded in taking out two police chiefs and O’Toole. If Poilievre isn’t careful, they may inadvertently end his career, too.

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