Trudeau polling slightly higher than Poilievre for prime minister

By Stephanie Taylor | News, Politics | September 20th 2022

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre greet each other as they gather in the House of Commons on Parliament Hill to pay tribute to Queen Elizabeth in Ottawa on Sept. 15, 2022. File photo by The Canadian Press/Sean Kilpatri

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A new poll suggests a plurality of Canadians still believe Justin Trudeau is still the best man for the job of prime minister, but he has only a slight lead over new Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre.

Leger has released the findings of an online survey conducted over the weekend with around 1,500 respondents.

The results suggest the Liberals' popularity has declined since one year ago, when Trudeau was re-elected for a second time to form a minority government.

Around 28 per cent of respondents said they would cast a ballot for the Liberals if an election were held today, as compared to the nearly 33 per cent who said the same last September.

And the results suggest some of the former Liberal voters are shifting left and right.

About 34 per cent of respondents said they would park their vote with the Tories, an increase from the 26 per cent of voters who favoured the Conservatives after last year's election.

Another 23 per cent of respondents said they would pick the NDP, an increase from the nearly 18 per cent recorded in the election.

Three per cent of respondents opted for the Green Party and another three per cent would choose the People's Party of Canada.

When it comes to who would make the best prime minister, however, the data suggests Trudeau has the edge over both Poilievre and the NDP's Jagmeet Singh.

@JustinTrudeau slightly favoured over @PierrePoilievre for prime minister: new poll. #CDNPoli

Trudeau was top choice for 24 per cent of respondents, which was three points ahead of Poilievre and seven points over Singh.

The new poll comes 10 days after Poilievre was elected to lead the Tories in a landslide win, which many in the party hope signals the beginning of a unified Conservative party.

It cannot be assigned a margin of error because online polls are not considered truly random samples.

When it comes to regional breakdowns, the survey suggests Poilievre has the weakest support in Quebec and strongest in Alberta as compared to Trudeau, who is the strongest in Atlantic Canada and weakest in Alberta.

The data suggests Ontario is a much closer toss-up, with 34 per cent of respondents in that province saying they would pick a Poilievre-led Conservative party as compared to 32 per cent who said they would choose the Trudeau Liberals.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 20, 2022.

September 20th 2022

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Andy Buttefield |

Personally, I consider Poilievire a dangerous right-wing fool. But I, like many Canadians have lost any trust I had in Trudeau. Realistically I have three (unattractive for a variety of reasons) choices in the next election: NDP, Green or don't vote. On the other hand, if Trudeau were to commit to (real) proportional representation --- something I feel is essential -- and stop ANY uncompleted (e.g. Trans Mountain, Coastal Gas) pipelines or new/expanded fossil fuel projects I can see many Canadians voting Liberal.